Few of AMISOM’s backers want to shoulder the burden of Somalia’s long term stability, several – including Ethiopia – have begun to withdraw their troops. Al-Shabaab will probably quietly wait them out.
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In terms of absolute spending, violence containment costs in Africa roughly correlate with GDP. As a percentage of GDP however, it becomes more complicated: some wealthy countries might as well be at war.
Eritrea spends more than 24% of its GDP on its military, the highest by far in Africa. Burundi, Angola and Morocco also have high expenditures – and all countries have had long running internal or external conflicts